The Playbook: Your fantasy football guide for Week 7

  • Fantasy football, NFL analyst for ESPN.com
  • Member of Pro Football Writers of America
  • Founding director of Pro Football Focus Fantasy
  • 2013 FSTA award winner for most accurate preseason rankings

Welcome to the Week 7 Fantasy Football Playbook!

This will be your game-by-game guide to the week’s slate of NFL games, featuring score projections, over/unders, win probabilities and, of course, easily digestible fantasy advice for both season-long and DFS leagues. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start decisions, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.

The advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 Flex, 1 K, 1 D/ST), although I’ll often mention “shallow” or “deep” leagues for borderline starters. The charts show all players who have been projected for at least 6.0 fantasy points this week, as well as all D/STs. “Matchup” is automatically determined using a proprietary metric that factors in both raw and volume-adjusted fantasy points allowed to each position by the opposing defense this season.

(Editor’s note: Projections and rankings will align almost perfectly, but sometimes when a projection is close, a player might be ranked slightly higher or lower due to other factors, including upside or risk. This column is subject to possible updates during the weekend, though at the very minimum, rankings will be updated on the site and projections will always be updated inside the game leading up to kickoff.)

Washington Football Team @ Green Bay Packers

Lineup locks: Aaron Jones, Davante Adams

  • Aaron Rodgers is fantasy’s QB12 this season, but he has put up 19-plus points in every game since his Week 1 dud and should definitely be in lineups thanks to a great matchup against a Washington defense that has allowed 23-plus QB points in five consecutive games. Taylor Heinicke laid an egg in a great Week 6 matchup and can’t be trusted in lineups after back-to-back duds.

  • Antonio Gibson had produced four top-25 fantasy weeks before his Week 6 injury woes and should be in lineups if active this week. If he’s out, J.D. McKissic vaults to RB2/lineup lock status and Jaret Patterson becomes a deep-league flex. AJ Dillon’s role is increasing, but he only has one weekly finish better than 30th to show for it. He should remain on benches.

  • Terry McLaurin has had three duds in his past four outings, but his usage (9.5 targets per game) and talent level are too good to bench. Allen Lazard scored his first touchdown of 2021 last week, but that helped him to only his first top-70 fantasy showing of the season. He’s a deep-league flex, at best. Randall Cobb can’t be trusted after failing to catch a single pass last week for the second time this season.

  • Ricky Seals-Jones has played on 99% of Washington’s snaps and has 15 targets in place of Logan Thomas over the past two weeks. He is a viable TE1. Robert Tonyan has cleared 3.0 fantasy points in just one game and is best left on benches.

Over/Under: 53.6 (2nd-highest in Week 7)
Win Prob: Packers 75% (4th-highest)

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