The Betting Man's Guide to Cleganebowl
• Only two episodes of Game of Thrones remain.
• Characters “The Hound” and “The Mountain” are, essentially, long-beefing brothers.
• There’s a good chance we finally see the CleganeBowl in this week’s episode.
With just two episodes of Game of Thrones remaining, we’re running out of time for some of the stuff we’ve been waiting for, and plenty of burning questions remain. Who will end up on the Iron Throne? Will Daenerys fulfill her destiny, or follow in her father’s footsteps and become The Mad Queen? Will Bran ever chill the hell out?
Perhaps the most exciting, from an action standpoint, is the long-awaited battle between the Cersei-loyal Gregor “The Mountain” Clegane, and Sandor “The Hound” Clegane, recently seen fighting to defend Winterfell from The Night King’s dead army. The fight between the brothers has been teased for much of the show’s run, and with a Cersei vs. Everyone battle on the horizon in the show’s penultimate episode, there’s good chance we’ll be seeing it soon.
Cleganebowl 2019—The Golden Company Presents King’s Landing Stadium—May 12, 2019. Be there—or else.
What is ‘Cleganebowl,’ anyway?
In Westeros lore, there are two brothers from the Clegane family: Sandor and Gregor. As children, the two brothers were always fighting—culminating with Gregor shoving Sandor’s face into a scorching fire, deeply burning his face for life, and leaving him forever hating both fire, and his brother.
As adults, both Cleganes have taken on (really, incredibly catchy) nicknames: Sandor is known by everyone as The Hound, and Gregor is universally The Mountain. Both are massive men, but The Mountain even more so.
Both men have, effectively, been dead: The Hound was left in a ditch after losing a fight to Brienne of Tarth before slowly and meticulously nursing himself back to health and eventually finding the rest of the main characters. The Mountain died in battle with Oberyn Martell—literally—only to be brought back by Qyburn’s dark magic as a towering, constantly-masked zombie knight.
As people have accepted the fact that these two massive warriors seemed destined to meet and fight once again—and likely, this late in the series, to the death—the term ‘Cleganebowl’ has consistently grown in popularity. With a major face-off appearing to be imminent between Cersei Lannister’s King’s Landing forces and the army led by Daenerys and Jon Snow, it’s increasingly likely that our Cleganebowl rematch—they briefly fought following a joust in Season 1—will come soon. But whatever could happen? Our best oddsmakers** broke it all down.
Who will win?
Honestly, who knows. These two briefly faced off back in Season 1’s “The Wolf and The Lion,” after The Mountain lost a jousting match to Loras Tyrell. Following his loss, The Mountain, in a fit of rage, decapitated his horse and came swinging at Loras, who was not prepared. The Hound jumped down from the stands and fought back against his brother for a minute or so before then-King Robert Baratheon told them to knock it off.
With that in the rearview mirror, everything that we’ve seen tells us that The Hound should win—he’s been on a redemptive arc that’s seen him befriend both Arya and Sansa Stark, and as much as he’ll never admit it, he really does care for those two—Arya especially. The Mountain, meanwhile, is basically pure evil. He just cut off one of the show’s most well-liked character’s heads last week.
That said, this is Game of Thrones. We never know what twists are going to come, and we never know exactly when those twists are coming—whether The Mountain wins, The Hound wins, or if they both decide to call the whole thing off and go get some ice cream, no outcome should ever be too surprising. Not in this world, at least.
Our Cleganebowl 2019 Prop Bets
For those not well versed in the world of gambling, a quick guide to reading these odds:
Over/Under Bets: A number is set by the book, and you choose whether the reality will come over or under that set number. If the result matches the number set by the book, that’s a push.
Moneyline Bets (With Numbers): Everything here is based on a standard bet of $100. So, for example, if something was a big time longshot, its line would be something along the lines of +1000. If that bet hit, and you bet the standard $100, you’d get your $100 back, plus the $1000 that you earned. This is equivalent to calling something “1000 to 1 odds.”
Essentially, the lower the number, the more likely the book thinks it is—and the higher the number, the more of a longshot the book thinks it is.
A standard favorite in a sports bet is -110. That’s the number that you get if you pick a favorite to cover a spread, or what Las Vegas considers to be the closest. If you saw -110, that means you’d have to bet 110 dollars to win 100. If you see -1000 odds, that means you’d have to bet $1000 to win an additional $100.
Now, for the Cleganebowl bets:
Podrick’s National Anthem Renditon: Over/Under: 2 Minutes, 10 Seconds long
Weapon used: Sword -1000
Weapon used: Flail (Medieval Ball and Chain Weapon) +300
Weapon used: Giant Dragon-slaying arrow +1000
Witty quips by Tyrion Lannister During Cleganebowl: Over/Under-2.5
Dragonfire intervention from Daenerys: +1000
Total fight length: Over/Under: 4 Minutes, 30 Seconds Long
The Mountain APPEARS to be Dead But Comes Back And Fights More: -110
Cersei sips of wine while watching Cleganebowl: Over/Under – 4.5
Someone OTHER THAN The Hound or The Mountain Dies As a Direct Result: +250
The Mountain Dies: -1000
The Mountain Lives: +800
The Hound Dies: -500
The Hound Lives: +200
The Mountain Dies and is Revived Again By Qyburn: +10,000
The Hound Dies and Is Revived by Qyburn: +20,000
Both Cleganes Die: -110
Both Cleganes Live: +1,000,000
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