Every NFL teams record vs. the spread and Week 14 early lines
This past week was the fifth time since the beginning of 2020 that the favorites covered at least 60% of the games, and all five of those instances have come in the second half of the season.
In fact, favorites trending in the right direction in the second half of the regular season is nothing new. That trend will be put to the test in Week 14 with a few big opening favorites: teams favored by at least six points this season are 26-36-1 ATS (41.9% cover rate, down from 52.4% a season ago).
Will the favorites keep trending in the right direction? We’ve got a few home ‘dogs on the Week 14 slate, a spot that has also been profitable this season.
Thursday 8:15 p.m.
Las Vegas Raiders (-6, 44.5) at Los Angeles Rams
Raiders ATS: 6-6
What we know about the Raiders: The Raiders have two road games left on their 2022 slate. If they can cover both, they will finish with a winning road ATS record for hte first time since 2016.
Rams ATS: 3-8-1
What we know about the Rams: The Rams covered in Week 13, the first time they did that since mid-October, but there games are a little more exciiting than projected: three overs in their past four games.\
Sunday 1:00 p.m.
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-6, 47.5)
Browns ATS: 6-5-1
What we know about the Browns: Consecutive unders for the Browns after a six game stretch with just one under.
Bengals ATS: 9-3
What we know about the Bengals: Trending? The Bengals have covered four straight. They covered six of eight to end last regular season before making the playoff run.
Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys (-17, 45)
Texans ATS: 4-7-1
What we know about the Texans: The Texans have failed to score more than 20 points or cover in each of their past three road games.
Cowboys ATS: 8-4
What we know about the Cowboys: The ‘Boys are 5-2 ATS at home this season and 10-5 ATS at Jerry’s World since the beginning of last season.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3.5, 41.5)
Jaguars ATS: 4-8
What we know about the Jaguars: Consecutive overs in Jacksonville games, this coming after four straight unders.
Titans ATS: 8-4
What we know about the Titans: Not only have under tickets chased in three straight Titan home games, they are 11-3 since the beginning of last season in such spots.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-1, 53)
Vikings ATS: 6-5-1
What we know about the Vikings: In each of Minnesota’s past four covers, over tickets have come through.
Lions ATS: 8-4
What we know about the Lions: That’s now five straight covers for the Lions with three of their past four games going over the total.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-9, 44)
Jets ATS: 7-5
What we know about the Jets: Overs have cashed in both Mike White starts, this coming on the heels of five straight unders.
Bills ATS: 5-5-2
What we know about the Bills: The Bills are coming off of their first cover since mid-October and a second consecutive under. It is worth noting, however, that all three Buffalo overs this season have come at home.
Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5, 45) at New York Giants
Eagles ATS: 7-5
What we know about the Eagles: Overs are 6-3 since the beginning of last season when the Eagles play divisional games.
Giants ATS: 9-3
What we know about the Giants: Under tickets have cashed in five of the past seven GIant games.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Ravens ATS: 4-7-1
What we know about the Ravens: The Ravens failed to cover in their last road game (Week 12 at JAX), but they were 4-1 ATS in such spots prior. Rebound spot?
Steelers ATS: 6-5-1
What we know about the Steelers: The Steelers are 5-2 ATS after an ugly 1-3-1 start to the season.
Sunday 4:05 p.m.
Miami Dolphins (-3, 52) at Los Angeles Chargers
Dolphins ATS: 6-6
What we know about the Dolphins: The Dolphins are 3-7 ATS in their past 10 road December games.
Chargers ATS: 7-5
What we know about the Chargers: Three of Los Angeles’ five home games this season have been covered by less than three points. Get ready for a sweat!
Sunday 4:25 p.m.
Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 43)
Panthers ATS: 6-6
What we know about the Panthers: The Panthers are coming off their bye and have covered three straight (not to mention five of their past six).
Seahawks ATS: 6-6
What we know about the Seahawks: After four straight covers, the Seahawks have dropped three straight ATS.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers
Buccaneers ATS: 3-8-1
What we know about the Buccaneers: The Bucs covered their first two road games this season, but they’ve dropped all three since, failing to cover by 17.2 PPG in the process.
49ers ATS: 7-5
What we know about the 49ers: Three straight covers for the 49ers. Fun fact: nine of their 12 games have had a double digit cover margin.
Sunday 8:20 p.m.
Kansas City Chiefs (-9, 43) at Denver Broncos
Chiefs ATS: 5-7
What we know about the Chiefs: The market is struggling to post proper Kansas City totals, as there were four unders in their past five games.
Broncos ATS: 4-8
What we know about the Broncos: Eight straight unders in Denver games and five of those games have gone under the projected total by double digits.
Monday 8:15 p.m.
New England Patriots (-1.5, 44) at Arizona Cardinals
Patriots ATS: 6-5-1
What we know about the Patriots: The Pats have seen four of their past five games go under the total, this after four of five games went over the total.
Cardinals ATS: 6-6
What we know about the Cardinals: After four straight unders, Arizona comes out of their bye with each of their past six games going over the projected total.
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