Racing tips: Cotswold Chase trends – we help you find the winner of the Cheltenham race live on ITV

SLATE HOUSE can carry off the Cotswold Chase for Team Tizzard.

It pays to stick with horses with winning form over at least three miles, which spells danger for Mister Whitaker who has yet to score beyond 2m5f.

Being a graded race winner is important and the remaining five can all boast that.

Four of the past five Cotswold Chase heroes scored on their previous outing, which has to be a concern for followers of Bristol De Mai. On the plus side for him, he would be giving more weight away if this was a handicap. He is a full 12lb higher in the official ratings than De Rasher Counter but carries just 2lb more.

Eight of the past nine winners had been out two or three times earlier in the season which is a worry for Santini. He could also have the shocking record of favourites weighing him down. You need a long memory to remember the last market-leader to win this.

A Cheltenham win is an excellent pointer and that’s where De Rasher Counter and Top Ville Ben come up short.

So that leaves us with SLATE HOUSE. He has scored around here and won over three miles at Kempton last time. He is the right sort of price and should run well.

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