Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and best bets
The Miami Heat (19-8) visit the Philadelphia 76ers (20-8) Wednesday at Wells Fargo Center. Tip-off is set for shortly after 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Heat-76ers odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Heat at 76ers: Key injuries
Heat
- PG Goran Dragic (groin) out
- SF James Johnson (personal) out
- SG Dion Waiters (suspension) out
- G Justise Winslow (back) out
Heat at 76ers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
Prediction
76ers 119, Heat 114
Moneyline (ML)
The 76ers (-333) are heavy favorites at home against an undermanned Heat side. Both teams are coming off losses, with the Heat falling 118-111 at the Memphis Grizzlies Monday and the Sixers being upset 109-89 by the Brooklyn Nets Sunday.
Philly is the only team in the NBA left undefeated on home court at 14-0. Miami is just 8-7 on the road. The Sixers would be the pick, but it’s just too much chalk to have to swallow with a $10 bet returning a profit of $3 with the outright win.
Against the Spread (ATS)
Take the HEAT (+7.5, -115) when being spotted 7 points. Miami is 17-9 against the spread overall and 7-7 on the road. Philly is 12-13 ATS overall and 7-5 at home. The Sixers played within a margin of 7 points in each of their last four victories. Just eight of their 20 wins on the year were by 8 or more points.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Heat have hit the over in 15 of 27 games played while topping the projected totals by an average of 2.5 points per game. The Sixers are 12-15-1 against the Over/Under and fall an average of 1.8 points below the projections.
Take the OVER 209.5 (-120) with the 76ers set to fill the stat sheet against the shorthanded Heat. Miami has allowed at least 113 points in each of its last four outings.
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Esten’s NBA betting record: 100-69
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